8 RESULTS
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Conference Report: “Tibet 2040: 4 Scenarios on the Future of Tibet”

We are pleased to present our conference report, “Tibet 2040: 4 Scenarios on the Future of Tibet”. The report is published in English and Tibetan. To accompany the report we have also produced these FAQs: https://future-of-tibet.org/en/frequently-asked-questions-on-the-future-of-tibet-scenario-report/

All constructive comment, criticism and feedback is welcome, please submit these via this Google Form: https://forms.gle/RqDqjzCC8rUKWvPy6

To download the PDF with the full graphic design elements, please visit this link: https://future-of-tibet.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Tibet-2040-Four-scenarios_ENG-Design-Version.pdf

Tibet 2040 - Four scenarios_ENG One Page Version

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Frequently Asked Questions on The Future of Tibet Scenario Report

Read “Tibet 2040: 4 Scenarios on the Future of Tibet” here: https://future-of-tibet.org/en/conference-report-tibet-2040-4-scenarios-on-the-future-of-tibet/

FAQs

Q1: Who were your consultants on this report?

Answer:

For the scenario process we received guidance and training from Reos Partners who address complex societal issues by enhancing multi-stakeholder collaboration and help people work together across differences to achieve systemic change.

We were inspired by the early 1990s “Mont Fleur” scenario exercise in South Africa – which brought together diverse leaders to envision the transition from apartheid to democracy.

Q2: Is your scenario approach inclusive enough for Tibetans inside Tibet?

Answer:

Given the difficulties in communication with Tibetans inside Tibet, the whole scenario process was entirely done outside of Tibet. However, we received guidance and input from recent and not so recent arrivals from Tibet, many of whom participated in the workshops.

Q3: What do you expect as a result of this?

Answer:

We expect to contribute to a more open-minded, diverse and transparent discussion about our common possible futures.

Q4: How can the public benefit from this report?

Answer:

In this report the public will find a summary of many views about the future that were expressed in workshops held across the global Tibetan diaspora from New York, Paris, New Delhi and Dharamshala.

Q5: What do you mean by strong “Tibetan unity”?

Answer:

There is no single definition of “Tibetan unity”. In this context it refers to a certain minimum of collaboration and cohesiveness needed in order to achieve strategic goals.

In the workshop discussions, “Tibetan unity” was usually seen in three dimensions: 1. Unity (thundril) between exile Tibetans, 2. Unity between Tibetans in Tibet and 3. Unity between exile Tibetans and Tibetans in Tibet.

Q6: What about the factor of the succession of His Holiness the Dalai Lama?

Answer:

The succession of His Holiness the Dalai Lama was identified as a “Key Concern” and is described in detail in all the scenarios.

Q7: Everything could develop faster or slower than you have estimated. What to do then?

Answer:

Absolutely! We view it as more plausible that these scenarios will develop over many years, but it is of course possible (but less likely) that it can happen in a much shorter time frame. Even if we compress the timeline, we think there are valuable structural insights in these scenarios.

Regarding what to do, we have not focused on any strategy in these different scenarios, as this is something everyone needs to discuss and agree on. We have painted the picture of possible futures. What to do is up to you.

Q8: What about a “Black Swan” element (Think the Unthinkable)?

Answer:

We have tried to include relevant factors in the workshops and categorized them according to importance and certainty. Even if “Black Swan” events happen (natural disasters, pandemics or events which affect key leaders), we still think the key concerns and structural factors remain relevant.

Q9: What about our capacity to grasp opportunities of any sorts in these scenarios?

Answer:

Regarding what to do, we have not focused on any strategy in these different scenarios, as this is something everyone needs to discuss and agree on. We have painted the picture of possible futures. What to do is up to you.

Q10: If someone has ideas, feedback or comments to give on the conference report or the Future of Tibet initiative in general, is there a way to submit these?

Answer:

Yes we welcome all feedback, ideas and comments as long as they are constructive. Please submit via this Google Form: https://forms.gle/RqDqjzCC8rUKWvPy6

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The Future of Tibet Dharamshala Conference Declaration

In the snowy realm where our forebears’ legacy stands bold,
Where the guardian of Snow Land’s aspiration tenderly unfolds.
Beneath Avalokiteshvara’s serene and watchful gaze,
May Gangchenpa thrive in eternal grace.

 
Given the present conditions both inside and outside Tibet, coupled with the advancing age of His Holiness the Dalai Lama and the rapidly evolving global and Chinese political landscapes, it becomes evident that the Tibet issue has reached a critical juncture. It is imperative that we reflect on the past and contemplate the future. The time is ripe for us to take appropriate and effective measures to safeguard Tibetan identity, language, culture, and the future political landscape. With this in mind, a group of dedicated volunteers has urgently initiated the Future of Tibet Initiative. Since April 2022, we have organized four conferences in Washington DC, Paris, New York City, and New Delhi, engaging in discussions on a wide array of issues crucial to the future of Tibet.

The fifth conference took place at the seat of the Central Tibetan Administration in Dharamshala from November 5 to 10, 2023. His Eminence the 7th Ling Rinpoche and His Eminence the 13th Kundeling Tatsak Rinpoche graciously delivered speeches for the conference participants. Approximately 90 participants from seven different countries attended the conference. Throughout the conference, participants deliberated on the Tibet issue’s past, present, and future aspects and unanimously agreed on the following points:

Tibet boasts a rich history spanning several thousand years, establishing itself as one of Asia’s significant powers. Despite global historical transformations, Tibet has successfully maintained its sovereignty. In the early 20th century, British India and the Manchu-led Qing Dynasty sought to influence Tibet but were unsuccessful in their attempts. Even amidst the upheavals of two world wars, Tibet retained its status as a crucial source of major Asian rivers and a spiritual center.

In 1950, the Chinese Communist Party initiated its invasion of Tibet, culminating in the defeat of the Tibetan army in 1959, leading to His Holiness the Dalai Lama fleeing and seeking refuge in India. Despite the adversities, under His Holiness’s guidance, Tibetans successfully established the Tibetan government-in-exile as a continuation of the former independent Tibetan government. Guided by His Holiness’s vision, this government-in-exile embarked on a democratization process. Under His Holiness’s leadership, Tibetans also aspired to create a democratic future for Tibet, envisioning it as a zone of peace in Inner Asia. His Holiness played a pivotal role in internationalizing the peaceful struggle of the Tibetan people. Above all, His Holiness’s visionary leadership fostered a new generation equipped with both traditional and modern education, instilling strong hope for the future of Tibet.

Since 1959, the Communist Party of China has systematically invaded and subjugated the entire region of Tibet, leading to the systematic destruction of the Tibetan language, culture, and natural ecosystem. The Chinese government persists in violating the fundamental human rights of the Tibetan people. Under the current leadership of Xi Jinping, approximately 1 million Tibetan children have been forcibly enrolled in colonial-style boarding schools in Tibet. The erosion of Tibetan identity and culture has noticeably accelerated under Xi Jinping’s leadership.

During this conference, we, the participants, express our urgent appeal that is inherently connected to the future of Tibet:

1) His Holiness the Dalai Lama is the human manifestation of the protector deity of Tibet, Avalokiteshvara, and Tibetans are his disciples. This unique bond between the Dalai Lamas and the Tibetan people should last for eternity. Therefore, we strongly urge His Holiness the 14th Dalai Lama, to consider reincarnation.

2) During the interlude between the fourteenth Dalai Lama and his successor, the fifteenth Dalai Lama, the Chinese government will likely employ various strategies. We must be thoroughly prepared for these challenges. Therefore, it is imperative to establish an authoritative representative capable of addressing these uncertainties. Therefore, we strongly urge the establishment of a precise mechanism for appointing a representative during this period.

3) It is crucial for the collective future of Tibetans that the Tibetan struggle fosters a united and amicable environment where diverse perspectives from individuals with varied backgrounds and professions can thrive. As conference participants, we pledge to uphold this principle and urge all fellow Tibetans, united by the same heritage and lineage, to join us in embracing this approach.

4) To bolster the effectiveness and timeliness of our Tibet advocacy and leverage all available opportunities, it is crucial to closely monitor the swiftly evolving global geopolitical landscape, with a specific emphasis on China and India. Remaining vigilant, we must seize every opportunity that proves advantageous to the Tibetan cause.

5) The unbreakable connection between Tibetans inside Tibet and those in exile is indelible. Individuals in exile, from leaders to the common people, should empathize with their Tibetan counterparts’ challenges and aspirations. It is imperative to foster a tolerant atmosphere within our exile community. We must collectively identify a common adversary and refrain from any actions that might dishearten our fellow Tibetans inside Tibet.

6) The younger generations of Tibetans and those who have enjoyed a good education, particularly those living in Western countries, should enhance their efforts for the Tibetan cause. They should actively contribute to the successful passage of resolutions on Tibet in their respective nations and at the United Nations.

7) Until the Tibet issue is resolved, we must persist in our ongoing protest against the unlawful Chinese occupation of Tibet. In this endeavor, it is essential to form alliances with freedom fighters from other regions, including East Turkistan, Taiwan, and Hong Kong, to strengthen our collective protest. We should engage in additional protest and advocacy initiatives to amplify our voices and garner support for our cause.

Signed by all participants of the fourth Future of Tibet Conference
On Tibetan Water-Rabbit Year 2150
November 10, 2023

 

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The Future of Tibet: Artists’ Statement

 

We are a group of five Tibetan artists who have forged a strong collaboration over the course of several weeks leading up to the Future of Tibet Dharamsala Conference, 5-10th November 2023. Art has been a vital element of the Future of Tibet Conference, Dharamsala, from our artwork on the walls of the venue to our continued presence at the conference, a performance art happening in real time.

As artists, we are always trying to do something new and, in a sense, we are always living in the future. Our art piece reflects many hours of discussions about our ideas of our collective future and how we wish to approach it. Tibetans these days are like seeds spread across the world. Even though we all are separated from each other by distance and time, we are growing ever more unified. This is symbolised in the piece by the seeds from Tibet on the canvas.

The woman in the painting represents the Tibetan people and is looking to the future through futuristic goggles while riding the Snow Lion. Here, the Snow Lion represents our ancestors’s wisdom and strength that is infused in our culture and traditions. These qualities are empowering us on the way to our future while also being up to date with modern technology and wisdom.

We chose the Snow Lion as an emblem of Tibet as it may not exist at the present time but it can evolve in the future and, like our land, will eventually return to us.

Signed by Artists:

Karma Sichoe
Kesang Lamdark
Ngoshi Choedon
Tashi Nyima
Tenzin Melak

The Future of Tibet Conference, Dharamsala, 9th November, 2023

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Press Release: “Seeds for the Future” The Week-Long “Future of Tibet” Conference Gets Underway in Dharamshala

“Seeds for the Future”:  The Week-Long “Future of Tibet” Conference Gets Underway in Dharamshala
6 November, 2023, Dharamshala

Almost 100 – largely younger – Tibetans from six different countries have come together in Dharamshala to discuss the future of Tibet. The conference opened officially the morning of 6 November and will continue until 10 November.

Preceding the conference, a successful one day seminar on 3 November in New Delhi was held on “Charting the Course: India’s Strategic Role in Tibet’s Future”. The seminar was blessed by His Eminence Kundeling Rinpoche with Ambassador Kanwal Sibal giving the Keynote Speech.

The Future of Tibet Dharamshala conference in Dharamshala will explore a range of topics including the geopolitics of Tibet, China and India; Tibetan unity; Tibetan identity; Connecting Tibetans between places and generations; Future paths for Tibet including self-determination and facing up to the future after His Holiness. The conference is comprised of three panel discussions, scenario planning workshops aiming to discuss key concerns, opportunities and to develop narratives for the future.

“It is exciting that so many Tibetans are invested in thinking and talking about the future and willing to prepare for it. Even though we may not all share the same views and may disagree with each other, it’s important to create a space where we can have open discussions and embrace our society’s diversity. I look forward to the week ahead!” said Wangpo Tethong, co-founder of the Future of Tibet project.

For the duration of the conference, in parallel, a group of artists collaborate in the creation of an artwork responding to the topic of the conference.

The Conference’s keynote speech will be given by former Special Envoy to His Holiness Kelsang Gyaltsen. Panel speakers include Tenzin Namgyal Tethong, Dr Dawa Lokyitsang, Geshe Lobsang Monlam, Pema Chagzoetsang, Passang Tsering, Phenthok, Lobsang Yeshi, Gonpo Dhondup and Dr Gyal Lo (joining virtually).

The artists’ group members are Kesang Lamdark, Karma Sichoe, Ngoshi, Tashi Nyima, Tenzin Melak and Tenzin Gyurmey.

The Future of Tibet is an independent civil society initiative hoping to bring Tibetans together and to unite in the spirit of taking responsibility for, and an interest in, Tibet’s future. The Organising Committee is a small group of individuals from all corners of society with no formal or institutional affiliation who believe in the strength of unity as well as in the force of diversity. The first Future of Tibet conference took place in Washington DC in April 2022. A European conference followed in November 2022 in Paris, France and a youth conference was held in New York in April 2023.

Participants of the conference are required to pay a registration fee, the event is supported by the Guiseppe Kaiser Foundation and there is also an online crowdfunding campaign to help to cover costs.

Useful links:
[1] Conference Schedule: https://future-of-tibet.org/en/the-future-of-tibet-dharamshayla-schedule/
[2] Future of Tibet Crowdfunding Appeal: https://www.gofundme.com/f/shaping-the-future-of-tibet

Media Contacts:
Tashi Lamsang (Tibetan): +91 85271 47721
Dechen Pemba (English): +91 83686 05635

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The Future of Tibet, Dharamshala – Schedule

This is the schedule for The Future of Tibet Conference in Dharamshala.

SUNDAY 5 November, 2023

3pm: Registration at The Imperial Heights Clarks Inn, Dharamshala

7pm: Dinner

8.30pm: “Oracle Bar” Activity

MONDAY 6 November, 2023

9-9.30am: Artistic Opening Ceremony

9.30-9.50am: Ice Breakers

Tea Break

10am: Conference Introduction and Welcome; Keynote Speech by Kelsang Gyaltsen.

12-1pm: Lunch Break

1-3pm: Panel Discussion 1 ‘Tibet in the World’

Speakers:

  • Lobsang Yeshi
  • Tenzin Namgyal Tethong
  • Phenthok

The panel will be moderated by Tenzin Sangmo

Tea Break

3.30-5.30pm: Workshop Introduction

7pm: Dinner

8.30pm: Optional Evening Activity

TUESDAY 7 November, 2023

9-9.15am: Inputs on Declaration

9.15-10.30am: Panel Discussion 2 ‘Tibetan Mind and Identity at a Crossroads’ 

Speakers:

  • Dr. Dawa Lokyitsang
  • Geshe Lobsang Monlam
  • Passang Tsering

The panel will be moderated by Tenzin Shinyi

Tea Break

10.45-12pm: Panel Discussion 3 ‘The Future of Tibetan Leadership’ 

Speakers:

  • Gonpo Dhondup
  • Dr Gyal Lo (virtual)
  • Pema Chagzoetsang

The panel will be moderated by Lharong

12-1pm: Lunch Break

1-5pm: Scenario Planning Workshops

5-6pm: Open Forum

7pm: Dinner

8.30pm: Optional Evening Activity

WEDNESDAY 8 November, 2023

9-9.15am: Inputs on Declaration

9.15-12pm: Scenario Planning Workshops

12-1pm: Lunch Break

1-3pm: Group/Plenary Discussions

3-5pm: Group Outdoor Activity 

6-7pm: Open Forum

7pm: Dinner

8.30pm: Lhakar Activity

THURSDAY 9 November, 2023

Morning: Final Plenary / Closing Session

12-1pm: Lunch

1-5pm: Scenario Planning Workshops 

4-6pm: Artists Activity and Open Forum

7pm: Dinner 

8:30pm: Optional Evening Activity

FRIDAY 10 November, 2023

9am-12pm: Group Outdoor Activity 

End of Conference

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Announcing the Fourth Future of Tibet Conference in Dharamshala, India, November 5th-10th 2023

 

Following successful conferences in Washington DC, Paris and New York, the fourth Future of Tibet conference will take place in Dharamshala, India, from November 5th-10th, 2023.

The Future of Tibet is a civil society initiative with no agenda other than to bring Tibetans together and to unite in the spirit of taking responsibility for, and an interest in, Tibet’s future. We, the Organising Committee, are a small group of individuals from all corners of society with no formal or institutional affiliation. We believe in the strength of unity as well as in the force of diversity. We may not subscribe to the same political convictions but believe in the value of truthful dialog. Moreover, we share a common belief that with the political changes in the world and in China, the Tibetan Freedom Movement needs a reflection about its future course.

We believe that our ability to influence the future is dependent on our ability to start a collective process of reflection and planning. If you are aged 18 or over and care about all aspects of Tibetan society, politics, language and culture, you are invited to join us and to share your thoughts and ideas. Over the course of five days, participants will be able to engage in fruitful, inspiring discussions, learn from distinguished speakers and guests and participate in a scenario planning workshop – all aiming to bring our highest spirits together for the future of our homeland.

Some of the topics that will be discussed will be the geopolitics of Tibet, China and India; Tibetan unity; Tibetan identity; Connecting Tibetans between places and generations; Future paths for Tibet including self-determination and Facing up to the future after His Holiness.

The special theme of the conference is “SEEDS” and there will be opportunity to engage artistically on the theme too.

Applications are now open, please apply via this Google Form: https://forms.gle/hs8dA26ZG5ym5iCM9

The deadline for applications is September 4, 2023.
Deadline extended to 15 September 2023!
*Applications are now closed*

Please be sure to read the FAQs before contacting us with any questions: https://future-of-tibet.org/en/dharamsala-conference-faqs/

Don’t miss any updates from us, be sure to subscribe to our mailing list here: https://future-of-tibet.org/en/home/about-us-contact/sign-up-to-our-mailing-list/

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Dharamsala Conference FAQs

1. When is the Future of Tibet conference taking place in Dharamsala, India?
From November 5th-10th, 2023.

2. Where is the Future of Tibet, Dharamsala conference taking place?
Full details about venue and logistics will be sent via email after the registration process is complete

3. What is the Future of Tibet project?
Please see: https://future-of-tibet.org/en/home/about-us-contact/

4. What is the aim of the Future of Tibet conference?
The aim of the conference is to create a coherent sequence of plausible events and decisions that create vivid, compelling stories about what the future could look like for Tibet. The conference hopes to initiate discussion about future scenarios and builds on the previous conferences held in Washington DC, Paris, and New York.

5. How many people will participate?
There are 100 places available for participants.

6. How do I become a participant?
Please fill out this application form by September 4th 15th 2023: https://forms.gle/hs8dA26ZG5ym5iCM9

Please note that application does not guarantee registration as we have a limited number of places available. For a successful conference, we intend to bring together a diverse group of people. We believe that having a diversity of ages, genders, views, and backgrounds will strengthen the quality of the discussions. You will be emailed the registration form in September once this balance is ensured.

*Applications are now closed.*

7. What language will the conference take place in?
Tibetan and English.

8. I’m not of Tibetan heritage, can I still participate?
No, in person participation is limited to those of Tibetan heritage only.

9. Is there an age limit to the participants?
We welcome all ages above 18 for the in-person conference.

10. Will this be a youth only conference?
No, this conference is for everyone aged 18 and over. Only once in the past (in New York) was the Future of Tibet a youth conference. In Dharamsala, we would like to create an environment for conducive inter-generational dialogue. We also want to achieve a 50/50 gender balance. We welcome a diverse age range for this conference.

11. Can I see the schedule of the conference?
Yes, we have published a draft schedule here and will be updating it as we go along.

12. Will accommodation and meals be covered for participants for the duration of the conference?
Yes, all meals and accommodation will be covered.

13. I’d like to attend but I require help with travel costs
We encourage everyone interested in taking part to apply. We will release details of travel bursaries that will be available soon.

14. I’d like to know more before I apply
That’s fine, keep an eye on our Facebook and Instagram accounts as we reveal more details of the program. Don’t miss any updates from us, be sure to subscribe to our mailing list here: https://future-of-tibet.org/en/home/about-us-contact/sign-up-to-our-mailing-list/

15. I have a question I don’t see answered above.
No problem, please contact us on united@future-of-tibet.org

16.  I want to help! Can I volunteer at the conference?
That would be great, we would love to hear from you, please contact us on united@future-of-tibet.org